Cryptocurrencies by market regime

What each coin has historically done in each US market regime. Base rates, not forecasts.

The market is MILDLY OFF today (24th percentile, as of September 25, 2026).

Italics: limited history, 10 to 14 past periods · Dash: too little history · Shading: the coin pages' return scale

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21 cryptocurrencies: Typical return in Mildly Off markets, 1 month to 3 months, sorted by the 3 months figureHow often it rose: the share of past periods in which each coin ended higher, in Mildly Off markets, 1 to 3 monthsPast periods: how many past periods, none overlapping, stand behind each figure, in Mildly Off markets, 1 to 3 months
Coin1 month2 monthsSorted by3 months
TRXTRON−2.3%46%38−3.4%48%24−0.9%49%17
LINKChainlink−0.7%48%38−3.1%46%24−5.3%43%17
BTCBitcoin−3.0%42%59−6.9%36%36−6.6%36%27
BNBBNB−2.4%43%38−2.5%46%24−6.9%45%17
DOGEDogecoin−4.8%41%38−7.6%37%24−9.1%40%17
LEOLEO Token−3.3%37%27−9.0%32%17−10.1%28%12, limited history
XRPXRP−6.3%37%38−8.1%37%24−10.9%33%17
XMRMonero−0.2%49%38−7.8%30%24−11.8%32%17
LTCLitecoin−6.3%40%59−10.5%34%36−13.7%33%27
XLMStellar−8.9%33%38−6.9%38%24−17.4%23%17
BCHBitcoin Cash−9.2%28%38−14.5%28%24−18.4%25%17
ETHEthereum−12.3%34%38−17.6%31%24−21.0%30%17
HBARHedera−9.2%25%23−16.1%28%15−22.5%27%11, limited history
ZECZcash−8.4%34%38−20.4%27%24−26.7%21%17
ADACardano−13.7%27%38−19.0%26%24−31.2%18%17
AVAXAvalanche−9.4%38%20−12.3%36%12, limited historytoo little history: 9 past 3-month periods
HYPEHyperliquidtoo little history: 3 past 1-month periodstoo little history: 2 past 2-month periodstoo little history: 2 past 3-month periods
NEARNEAR Protocol−11.5%33%20−13.5%44%12, limited historytoo little history: 9 past 3-month periods
SOLSolana−11.6%27%20−12.0%39%12, limited historytoo little history: 9 past 3-month periods
SUISuitoo little history: 5 past 1-month periodstoo little history: 3 past 2-month periodstoo little history: 3 past 3-month periods
UNIUniswap−7.5%34%20−10.8%37%12, limited historytoo little history: 9 past 3-month periods

Figures as of September 26, 2026, from the same data as each coin's page. 6 coins with too little history over the next 3 months are listed last.

Each coin's page shows its typical return, how often it rose, and the number of past periods behind each figure, by US market regime and time frame. A regime with too little history shows a dash rather than a figure. Coins trade every day; the market regime is read on US market days, so every past period starts on one. Market-level base rates and the method are on Returns by Regime.