Is the market risk-on or risk-off right now?

MARKET REGIME
16.7
MILDLY OFF
0 RISK-OFFSeeking safety MILDLY OFF NEUTRAL MILDLY ON RISK-ON 100Taking risk
Monday's close, Nov 9
Down 2.2 over 5 days · drifting toward Risk-Off

Investors are turning cautious. Stress is building, and this is where market drops have often started. What does Mildly Off mean?

See how your own stock did in Mildly Off markets:

regimecard.com

As of November 9, 2026, the US market is Mildly Off, at 16.7 on a scale from 0 (most risk-off) to 100 (most risk-on). One reading per trading day, published after the 4:00 PM ET close (settled at 4:30 PM ET).


The daily US market regime indicator

Regime Card combines 8 cross-asset signals: credit markets, equity and bond volatility, currency dynamics, commodity flows, sector positioning, and rates.

Credit stress Spread dynamics
Equity vol regime IV structure
Bond market vol Rates uncertainty
Currency carry FX risk appetite
Commodity growth Industrial demand
Sector leadership Cyclical strength
Defensive rotation Risk positioning
Yield curve Term structure
5 Regime classes
8 Market Signals
Daily Update cadence
18+ Year Historical Regime

Is the market risk-on or risk-off right now?

As of Nov 9, 2026, the US market is Mildly Off: the 17th percentile on Regime Card's scale from Risk-Off (0) to Risk-On (100). A new reading is published every US market day.

How does Regime Card measure market regime?

Regime Card synthesizes eight cross-asset signals into a single 0–100 percentile. The signals span credit, equity and bond volatility, currencies, commodities, sector positioning, and rates. That percentile places the US stock market in one of five regimes, from RISK-OFF to RISK-ON. It describes where cross-asset risk appetite sits for the latest completed session; it is a measure of current conditions, not a price forecast.

How often does Regime Card update?

Regime Card publishes one reading per trading day, after the 4:00 PM ET close (settled at 4:30 PM ET). Each reading describes that completed session and does not change during the day.

Is Regime Card financial advice?

No. Regime Card is an informational market indicator, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. It describes current cross-asset conditions rather than predicting them, and it does not account for your individual circumstances.

What do Risk-On and Risk-Off mean on Regime Card?

Risk-On means investors are taking risk freely and markets are calm. Risk-Off means investors are moving to safety and markets are under stress. Most days sit between the two, in Mildly On, Neutral or Mildly Off. Regime Card doesn't say what to buy or sell. It tells you what kind of market you're in.

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